The president of a new state formation will reside in Moscow, Minsk will host the vice-president, Ruslan Bortnik, chief research officer of the Ukrainian Institute of Analysis and Management of Policy, told ukrlife.tv.
According to his forecast, the Russian Federation and Belarus will have formed a unified state by 2020. Russia has two scenarios; the Ukrainian one involves strengthening pressure on Ukraine and attempts to resume its influence there. In turn, the Belarusian scenario paves the way for joining together in one state.
This state project will then be developed, the expert believes. Since Moscow might engage unrecognised countries – Abkhazia, South Ossetia and separatist Donetsk and Luhansk republics.
“Such events may provide a proper background for electing Putin for the third term of office. The constitution forbids it, but they [kremlin] can change both the state and the constitution,” the Ukrainian political analyst warns.
Interestingly, a similar message regarding Belarus’ future was included in the recent publication “World In The 21st Century: Forecast For The Development Of The International situation By Country And Region” by the Centre for Military and Political Studies of the Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO), the major cadre training unit for the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and its official subdivision.