Speaking recently on air of Belsat, Franak Vyachorka, adviser of Svyatlana Tsikhanouskaya, expressed that pressure on Alyaksandr Lukashenka is not coming only from the outside but from within the regime as well.
Vyachorka believes that the external pressure on Lukashenka’s regime will increase: the fifth package of sanctions and publication of the ICAO report are expected in November, while sanctions against Belaruskali will come into force in December.
According to Vyachorka, it isn’t easy to assess what’s going on in Lukashenka’s head in this situation.
“It seems to me that he’s winding himself up so much that he’s not in control. For him, it is already a question of survival, not a question of retaining power, another presidential term, etc.
But a lot of people around him are forming groups that are not happy. These are the people who used to be, so to speak, at the feeder. They are middle-ranking officials, regional administrators, red directors, business people. They are the people who participated in the functioning of the state, were part of some schemes, and had space to live.
Now, because of Lukashenka, sanctions, and economic crisis, they do not have that opportunity. They are more and more dissatisfied. And they, perhaps, are the primary source of pressure on the regime, strange as it may seem. It’s not us who put pressure, but those people who are inside the regime — they put pressure on Lukashenka,” said Tsikhanouskaya’s advisor.
According to Vyachorka: no one knows when the break will happen, “but we can do everything to bring it closer.”